A quantity that compounds multiplicatively across steps can be made additive by applying the log function to it, which lets the sum-based statistical toolbox apply to it
For example, if we would like to calculate daily variance from an hourly chart, given a sample 3-hour period:
- T1: $100
- T2: $110
- T3: $121
Normally, if we’d like to calculate the ratios, we could simply do:
So naively it looks like we’ve just grown 20%, but have we? We can’t just add those - we have to multiply.
However, if we log the returns, this additiveness works:
Given we can add the ratios now, it opens the possibility of calculating variance by activating a property of it (assumes the terms are independent):
No such clean property exists for the product.
Other examples:
- The mean/expectation
- The Central Limit Theorem
- Autocorrelation / variance-ratio tests