Pawel Flajszer Slip-boxNotebooksWorkAbout
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A quantity that compounds multiplicatively across steps can be made additive by applying the log function to it, which lets the sum-based statistical toolbox apply to it

For example, if we would like to calculate daily variance from an hourly chart, given a sample 3-hour period:

  • T1: $100
  • T2: $110
  • T3: $121

Normally, if we’d like to calculate the ratios, we could simply do:

So naively it looks like we’ve just grown 20%, but have we? We can’t just add those - we have to multiply.

However, if we log the returns, this additiveness works:

Given we can add the ratios now, it opens the possibility of calculating variance by activating a property of it (assumes the terms are independent):

No such clean property exists for the product.

Other examples:

  • The mean/expectation
  • The Central Limit Theorem
  • Autocorrelation / variance-ratio tests

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